The movement of a currency like the British Pound (GBP) during a recession can be influenced by various factors, and it is not a simple or straightforward relationship. Currency exchange rates are affected by a multitude of economic, political, and market forces, making it challenging to predict how a specific currency will perform during a recession. Here are some key points to consider:

1. Interest Rates: During a recession, central banks may lower interest rates to stimulate economic activity. Lower interest rates can make a currency less attractive to investors seeking higher returns, which can put downward pressure on its value. If the Bank of England lowers interest rates, it may lead to a depreciation of the GBP.
2. Economic Fundamentals: The performance of a currency is closely tied to the overall health of the economy. If the UK’s economic fundamentals weaken significantly during a recession, it could lead to a depreciation of the GBP.
3. Safe-Haven Status: Sometimes, during times of economic uncertainty or recession, investors seek safe-haven currencies like the US Dollar (USD) or Swiss Franc (CHF). In such cases, the GBP may weaken against these currencies.
4. Government Policies: Government policies and interventions can play a significant role in influencing a currency’s value during a recession. Fiscal stimulus measures or economic reforms can affect market sentiment and currency markets.
5. Market Sentiment: Sentiment in the foreign exchange market can fluctuate rapidly. Traders and investors often react to news and events, which can lead to short-term fluctuations in currency values.
6. Global Factors: The GBP’s performance can also be influenced by global factors, such as trade tensions, geopolitical events, and changes in commodity prices. These factors can have a stronger impact on the currency’s value than the domestic economic situation.
7. Inflation Expectations: Rising inflation expectations can erode the purchasing power of a currency. If a recession is accompanied by concerns about rising inflation, it can weaken the GBP.

It’s essential to remember that currency markets are complex and influenced by a wide range of factors, and predicting their movements during specific economic conditions like a recession is challenging. Traders and investors often rely on a combination of economic analysis, technical analysis, and market sentiment to make informed decisions about currency trading. Therefore, while it’s possible for the GBP to weaken during a recession, it depends on the specific circumstances and the interplay of various factors at that time.