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Ibafin Report – 24th March 2025
The discussion surrounding the possibility of a recession in the United States has intensified in recent months, fueled by concerns over tariffs, inflation, and market uncertainty. The U.S. administration has responded to these concerns with mixed messages, acknowledging potential short-term economic pain while defending policies aimed at long-term gains. As financial markets react with sharp…
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(NY) Market Drama 101: 24th March 2025
Market Update: Trade Uncertainty, Tariff Moves, and Economic Indicators The global markets kicked off the week with a mix of optimism and caution as traders digested key macroeconomic developments. The trade narrative remains front and center, with reports emerging over the weekend about U.S. President Donald Trump’s planned tariff ‘Liberation Day,’ signaling a more targeted…
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Weekend News Recap (March 22 – 23, 2025)
The past weekend has been packed with significant global economic, political, and financial developments. Here’s a roundup of the key stories making headlines across the world. Global Economic & Trade Developments Australia’s Economic Outlook Financial Markets & Policy Shifts US & Canada Politics Geopolitical Developments & Conflicts Europe’s Economic Challenges Cryptocurrency & Blockchain Developments The…
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The First Meaningful Post-FOMC SPX Buying Since November 2023
The latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting has sparked a notable shift in market dynamics, marking the first meaningful post-FOMC buying in the S&P 500 (SPX) since November 2023. With 24-hour excess buy flow reaching +$70 billion and a persistent trend without significant opposing forces, this development has caught the attention of market watchers…
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The US Equity Market: Poised for a Massive Short Squeeze?
The US equity market is on the brink of what could be a significant short squeeze, according to UBS strategist Rebecca Cheong. With various market forces converging, investors might soon witness a sharp rally fueled by short-covering and strategic inflows. Record-High Short Interest One of the key indicators pointing to a potential squeeze is the…
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Today’s Key Central Bank Events and Speakers
Markets and investors are in for a busy day as several central banks take center stage with key rate decisions and speeches from top policymakers. Here’s what’s on the agenda: European Central Bank (ECB) Speakers The ECB will have a strong presence today with multiple officials scheduled to speak. Markets will closely analyze these speeches…
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Global Economic Update: Key Highlights from China, Australia, New Zealand, the US, and Beyond
The global economic landscape continues to be shaped by diverse challenges and shifts, from China’s persistent property woes to significant movements in global monetary policy. Here’s a breakdown of the latest developments that are making waves across financial markets and industries. Nvidia Plans Billions in US Chipmaking Investment Over 4 Years In a bold move…
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Fed Meeting Preview: Key Market Risks on the Table
No change in policy rate expected at the upcoming FOMC meeting, with markets fully pricing in a zero-move scenario. The real focus: the 2025 dot plot, QT developments, and a potential shift in the longer-run dot. Market positioning remains critical, with asymmetric risks in play. 2025 Dot Plot: Stability or Hawkish Risk? December’s SEP showed…
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Federal Reserve’s Steady Rate Policy: What to Expect
As global markets navigate uncertainty and trade disputes continue to dominate headlines, the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to stay on course when it concludes its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday. With the federal funds target range likely to remain at 4.25%-4.50%, attention will turn to the Fed’s messaging and policymakers’ economic projections for the…
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NQ FUTS FLAT AHEAD OF FED AS TRADERS EYE VOLATILITY
Nasdaq 100 futures trade near key technical levels ahead of the March FOMC meeting, with market participants weighing the Fed’s policy guidance against macro headwinds. Price action signals heightened volatility risk as traders position for potential rate shifts. LEVELS TO WATCH: FED POLICY OUTLOOK: MARKET POSITIONING: TRADING POST-FOMC: Traders remain on edge as the Fed’s…
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