• Market Recap and Insights: Shrugging Off Negative News and Focusing on Strength

    Yesterday’s markets showed remarkable resilience in the face of adverse news, such as the failed peace agreement and blockade. The Russell 1000 (RTY) led the pack, followed closely by the Nasdaq Composite (NDX) and the S&P 500 (SPX). Breadth was evenly split, with 250 names up on the day. Meanwhile, the VIX index dropped back…

  • Market Wrap: Shaking Off Recent Headlines and Heading Higher

    The market is shrugging off recent failed peace agreement and blockade news, with the Russell 1000 Growth (RTY) leading the charge higher. The S&P 500 (SPX) and the Nasdaq Composite (NDX) are also seeing gains, with breadth equally split between advancers and decliners. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) has fallen back below 20, and crude…

  • Market Insights: Navigating Geopolitical Noise and Macro Uncertainty

    As we navigate the complexities of the global economy, it’s important to stay informed about market trends and potential risks. In this blog post, we’ll dive into the latest insights from top market analysts and strategists, focusing on the themes of geopolitical noise, macro uncertainty, and the role of credit in confirming market movements. Lee…

  • Navigating the Uncertainty of Oil Shocks: A Guide for Investors

    In recent months, oil prices have experienced a significant surge, leading to concerns about the impact on corporate profits and the broader economy. As history has shown, the aftermath of oil shocks can bring a wide range of outcomes, from negative EPS growth to impressive gains. In this blog post, we’ll delve into the resilience…

  • Goldman Q1 Earnings Playbook: Expectations and Strategies for Investors

    As the first quarter earnings season kicks off, investors are eagerly awaiting the results from big banks. According to Goldman’s economist, real US GDP growth is expected to be around 3% in the first quarter of 2026, which is historically consistent with double-digit EPS growth. This means that the consensus high bar of 12% YoY…

  • SaaS/Software Subsector Faces Unprecedented Apathy and Negativity

    While some of this sentiment is understandable given growing concerns around Anthropic-led AI disintermediation and its implications for terminal value, Karl’s latest industry checks reveal a more immediate challenge. Since November/December, there’s been a sharper acceleration in enterprise AI budget growth, leading to a “crowding out” of non-AI spending. This is manifesting in slower SaaS…

  • Understanding JPMorgan’s Take on the Consumer Sector

    JPMorgan’s trading desk recently shared their insights on the consumer sector, providing a constructive outlook despite some unexpected factors. According to management, the consumer remains “very resilient” and the outlook provided during the last earnings call is still intact. However, there are some nuances to consider when it comes to tax refunds, oil prices, and…

  • Investors Resume Single Stock Selling as Index Level Participation Remains Key

    As the US retail market making (RMM) clients of UBS recorded $129 million in net outflows on Tuesday, investors appear to have resumed selling single stocks after four consecutive days of inflows. Despite the subdued volumes, the broad sell-off across various sectors suggests that flows continue to reflect a mix of index level participation and…

  • Ceasefire Agreement Brings Hope for End to Middle East Conflict

    As the world watched in anticipation, a ceasefire agreement was confirmed hours before the official deadline imposed by US President Trump. The news sent shockwaves through global markets, with investors breathing a collective sigh of relief as the threat of further conflict seemed to dissipate. According to reports, both sides have agreed to a two-week…

  • ExxonMobil’s Q1 Trading Update: Modest Improvement but Below Consensus

    ExxonMobil Corp released its Q1 trading update, which showed a modest improvement from the previous quarter but fell slightly below consensus estimates. According to Goldman Sachs, the company’s adjusted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.83, which was lower than the $0.92 expected by analysts. Despite the miss, the update highlighted several positive developments…