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Will the Oil Industry be the Catalyst for a Market Crash?
As the global economy continues to face uncertainty and volatility, many investors are wondering if there will be a trigger that leads to a market crash. One potential catalyst that has been gaining attention is the oil industry. With the price of crude oil plummeting in recent months, some experts believe that this could be…
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Market Volatility and Geopolitical Tensions Continue to Affect Investor Sentiment
In today’s mid-day note, Goldman Sachs highlights the ongoing volatility in the stock market, with the S&P 500 trading within a 1% band for the sixth consecutive day. This is only the fourth time in the past year that we’ve seen such a prolonged streak of high volatility. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions continue to be a…
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Is All the Bad News Priced In for Private Credit?
Private credit funds have been facing redemption caps and increased redemption requests, leading some to wonder if all the bad news is already priced into the market. Despite bearish sentiment in the alternative investment space, both Ares and Apollo Global managed to close on daily highs Tuesday. However, flow wise, the desk remains slightly net…
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Sarepta Therapeutics’ Gene-Silencing Tech Shows Promise in Muscular Dystrophy Treatment
Sarepta Therapeutics, a biotechnology company specializing in gene-silencing technology, has reported encouraging results from two clinical trials for the treatment of facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy type 1 (FSHD1) and myotonic dystrophy type 1 (DM1). These drugs, developed using the company’s siRNA platform, interrupt the process by which proteins are made, reducing or knocking down the target…
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Navigating the Complexities of the Iran Crisis: A Former Intelligence Head’s Insights
As the crisis between the United States and Iran continues to escalate, former Head of the Israeli Military Intelligence Branch Danny Citrinowicz offers a nuanced perspective on the options facing President Trump. According to Citrinowicz, the choices are not between good and bad, but rather between bad and very bad. Any agreement will require significant…
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Market Recovery Sparks Momentum and Private Credit Redemption Headlines
In today’s market wrap, we see a mixed bag of performance with the overall market recovering from early session lows. The latest headlines out of the Middle East have sparked some optimism, with an Iranian source claiming that there has been US “outreach” and Tehran “willing to listen.” This has led to a mid-morning rally…
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The Petroyuan Conflict: Accelerating the Erosion of Dollar Dominance
The ongoing Iran conflict has the potential to significantly impact the petrodollar system, which has long underpinned the US dollar’s role in global trade and reserves. As oil is increasingly traded outside of the US dollar, Middle Eastern flows are shifting towards Asia, and alternative payment systems emerge, the foundations of the petrodollar system were…
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Understanding the Inflationary Impact of Rising Energy Prices on Economic Growth
As we enter March, the inflationary impact of higher energy prices is becoming a growing concern for central banks around the world. The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) have been particularly focused on this issue, as they continue to monitor the impact of rising energy costs on economic growth. Across…
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Europe and UK Flash PMIs: Early Signs of Growth Deterioration Amid Energy Shock
The latest flash PMIs for Europe and the UK have provided early insights into the impact of the ongoing energy shock on economic growth. While the headline indices were slightly below expectations, the data reveals a more concerning picture beneath the surface. Input prices across regions and sectors have seen a sharp increase, while expectations…
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Heightened Volatility and Correlations Suggest Cross-Asset Contagion Risks
As we’ve seen in recent weeks, volatility has been on the rise across various asset classes. This week in particular has seen a resurgence of Iran-related volatility on both the downside and upside. While rates have been leading the cross-asset move on a volatility-normalized basis, implied volatilities for rates are still relatively low compared to…
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